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2009-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.3% 68.7% -
Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Log Adjusted 20.9% 79.1% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -1 (46-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 31 6-11 2-6 2-2 5 0 2 0 2 16 10 -
J. Cox 31 2-6 1-2 2-2 5 0 2 1 3 7 6 -
A. Templeton 30 2-7 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 7 2 -
C. Stanley 24 1-5 0-0 1-2 1 4 1 0 1 3 3 -
A. White 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Parker 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -
B. Heemskerk 17 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
B. Eaddy 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Baryenbruch 10 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
J. Hall 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Dirks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Moran 34 2-7 0-4 2-2 7 1 3 1 5 6 6 -
A. Farokhmanesh 34 2-11 2-9 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 6 -5 -
A. Koch 27 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 5 2 -2 -
L. O'Rear 24 2-6 0-1 3-4 8 1 0 0 2 7 8 -
K. Ahelegbe 22 2-6 1-2 2-4 1 2 0 0 1 7 3 -
J. Eglseder 21 4-5 0-0 3-6 10 0 1 3 2 11 18 -
K. Dunham 19 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
T. Brown 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
A. Rodenberg 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. Haak 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter