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2009-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% -
Bradley-Terry 63.3% 36.7% -
Margin 67.2% 32.8% -3.9 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 24.2% 75.8% -
Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% -
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +15 (74-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Clemente 37 5-7 0-0 6-10 3 2 0 0 3 16 11 -
C. Hannah 32 6-12 4-7 5-7 3 0 4 0 5 21 11 -
T. Murry 31 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 4 4 -
G. Hatch 22 1-6 1-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 3 5 0 -
A.J. Hawkins 21 3-7 0-2 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
J.T. Durley 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 4 4 -
A. Ellis 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
R. Chamberlain 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
G. Stutz 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Eldridge 36 5-13 1-4 3-4 6 3 4 2 1 14 15 -
D. Odiakosa 32 4-4 0-0 1-4 8 1 1 1 2 9 14 -
C. Oguchi 32 5-12 2-6 4-6 4 2 0 1 0 16 11 -
E. Holloway 28 3-9 2-3 1-2 1 2 1 0 2 9 2 -
L. Shipley 25 3-4 3-3 6-6 3 3 1 0 2 15 16 -
B. Sampay 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 9 -
A. Rubin 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 5 7 -
B. Holtz 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Thornton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter