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2009-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Buffalo Bulls Spread Result
Elo 55.5% 44.5% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 (18.4 off)

Actual: Buffalo Bulls -11 (48-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Moten 37 8-15 6-9 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 22 8 -
D. Clements 35 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 3 0 3 4 5 -
J. Jakubowski 31 3-6 1-4 0-1 2 4 0 0 4 7 3 -
N. Miller 28 2-5 0-0 3-5 5 2 2 0 3 7 8 -
S. Thomas 23 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
O. Polk 21 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 3 3 -
E. Marschall 19 3-4 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 9 9 -
D. Brown 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Knight 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Betts 34 4-8 2-5 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 10 9 -
R. Pierce 34 5-13 3-6 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 13 8 -
G. Gamble 27 2-5 0-1 1-2 5 6 2 0 2 5 11 -
A. Robinson 23 1-9 0-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
V. Fedotov 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Boyer 16 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 8 5 -
J. Alston 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
T. Robinson 13 3-3 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 1 3 7 4 -
M. Boudreau 9 0-1 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
S. Smiley 6 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
M. Watt 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter