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2009-02-18

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Army Black Knights Spread Result
Elo 64.7% 35.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.7% 52.3% -
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 (24.2 off)

Actual: Army Black Knights -22 (36-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 39 7-11 3-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 17 10 -
G. Carr 35 4-13 4-8 1-3 3 1 0 0 3 13 1 -
J. Nichols 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 8 9 -
B. Gilmore 21 3-5 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 3 6 0 -
F. Borden 21 1-5 0-1 0-1 7 2 1 0 0 2 7 -
N. Hendra 18 4-5 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 9 12 -
S. Lumpkins 18 1-2 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 1 3 3 3 -
B. Simon 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 0 4 -
S. Luptak 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
M. Wilson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Grafft 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hill 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Army Black Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Richard 25 2-8 1-4 0-0 1 3 2 1 1 5 3 -
J. Miller 24 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 7 3 -
N. Hedgecock 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Nelson 22 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 2 3 1 1 3 6 -
C. Walker 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 0 -4 -
J. Hence 17 2-3 0-1 1-3 4 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
D. Williams 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
R. Royal 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Moonshower 11 1-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 1 -
K. Brewer 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Simmons 10 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 3 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Sizemore 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Thompson 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
C. Koszuta 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter