Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +18 (94-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Curry | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| W. Efejuku | 33 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| G. McDermott | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Kale | 25 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Xavier | 23 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Brooks | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Hanke | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. McKenzie | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Kellogg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 38 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| E. Clark | 35 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| S. Samuels | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| P. Knowles | 24 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| E. Sosa | 20 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| A. McGee | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Smith | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Jennings | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Kuric | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Goode | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter