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2009-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% - โœ—
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 โœ— (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% - โœ—

Actual: Boise State Broncos -2 (54-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Watson 36 1-7 0-1 4-4 6 2 1 0 2 6 6 -
M. Hopson 34 7-14 0-1 4-6 5 4 1 0 3 18 11 -
B. Wiley 28 2-5 0-0 0-2 3 1 2 0 0 4 5 -
T. Simmons 26 2-5 0-1 1-1 2 0 2 0 2 5 2 -
M. Jefferson 26 6-11 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 3 3 15 10 -
T. Morris 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. de Souza 23 2-7 2-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
L. Augusto 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sanchez 36 8-11 1-1 0-0 8 3 0 1 0 17 18 -
A. Thomas 32 3-7 2-6 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 10 3 -
P. Noonan 31 4-13 3-10 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 11 6 -
L. Anderson 27 0-4 0-2 0-1 2 5 2 0 3 0 2 -
I. Okoye 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 1 6 6 -
A. Garner 19 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 -1 -
K. Cunningham 17 3-6 0-0 0-1 6 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
J. Greene 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
S. Imadiyi 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter