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2009-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +2.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 82.3% 17.7% -
Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.0% 6.0% -
Log Adjusted 94.0% 6.0% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs -12 (59-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Waller 33 6-15 4-11 4-6 2 0 1 0 2 20 6 -
D. Reed 32 3-9 1-4 1-4 4 5 1 2 6 8 5 -
K. Barber 32 4-5 0-0 3-11 18 1 1 2 5 11 23 -
L. Hargrove 25 3-7 0-2 2-2 10 1 2 0 1 8 13 -
F. Sullivan 23 3-8 1-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 0 8 4 -
Q. Robertson 23 3-4 1-1 1-2 6 0 1 0 1 8 10 -
R. Barrett 23 3-6 0-1 2-3 2 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
B. Knox 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Woodbury 32 2-10 1-5 2-2 7 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
C. Butler 28 2-7 2-4 1-2 5 2 3 0 0 7 10 -
D. Ware 26 4-9 4-7 2-4 3 7 1 0 1 14 15 -
R. McPhee 24 1-7 1-5 3-4 4 0 2 0 2 6 3 -
T. Thompkins 23 3-13 1-5 2-2 5 1 1 1 1 9 3 -
A. Jackson 22 2-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -2 -
Z. Swansey 14 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 3 1 -3 -
C. Barnes 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 1 6 -
T. Brewer 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Leslie 7 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Price 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter