Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thornton | 40 | 10-21 | 2-8 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 18 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 37 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| G. Temple | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Johnson | 34 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| C. Bass | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Martin | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Farrer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fortson | 38 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| R. Clarke | 29 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| M. Washington | 28 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Henry | 26 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| S. Welsh | 20 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Moore | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Clark | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Britt | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Cox | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter