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2009-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% -
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 40.9% 59.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Log Adjusted 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +18 (72-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 34 2-11 0-1 10-12 2 3 1 0 6 14 3 -
D. Summers 32 5-10 1-2 0-0 6 1 2 0 3 11 7 -
T. Walton 29 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 -1 -
G. Suton 25 3-8 0-2 4-4 7 0 0 0 3 10 6 -
C. Allen 18 3-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
D. Roe 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 4 2 3 -
R. Morgan 14 1-5 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Lucious 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -2 -
D. Green 11 1-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
M. Gray 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
I. Ibok 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Thornton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kramer 35 2-4 0-2 0-0 6 3 3 2 1 4 13 -
E. Moore 33 5-10 1-4 2-2 6 3 1 1 3 13 11 -
K. Grant 27 3-7 3-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 9 1 -
J. Johnson 26 5-7 0-0 7-8 4 0 2 1 1 17 16 -
R. Hummel 25 3-9 2-7 3-4 3 3 2 0 2 11 8 -
L. Jackson 21 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 3 0 0 2 7 8 -
M. Green 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 4 5 -
N. Calasan 10 2-5 0-3 1-2 1 0 0 3 1 5 3 -
B. Riddell 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Wohlford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Reid 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter