Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +18 (72-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 34 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 3 | - |
| D. Summers | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Walton | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| G. Suton | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Allen | 18 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Roe | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Morgan | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucious | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Green | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Gray | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| I. Ibok | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thornton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kramer | 35 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| E. Moore | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Grant | 27 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| R. Hummel | 25 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Jackson | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Green | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Calasan | 10 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Riddell | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Wohlford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Reid | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter