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2009-02-17

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 25.5% 74.5% -
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% -
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% -
Log Adjusted 28.7% 71.3% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Danridge 37 6-12 1-1 4-5 2 2 0 0 3 17 6 -
D. Faris 34 7-13 0-0 2-5 10 0 0 3 3 16 13 -
R. Martinez 29 1-6 1-6 0-0 9 1 1 1 3 3 6 -
C. Toppert 29 2-8 1-7 2-4 3 4 0 0 0 7 6 -
D. Gary 28 4-6 3-3 4-6 2 1 3 0 2 15 13 -
N. Garth 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 3 3 -
P. McDonald 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
J. Wills 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
W. Brown 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
A.J. Hardeman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Emery 38 7-9 3-3 2-2 6 2 2 0 1 19 19 -
J. Tavernari 37 9-17 3-5 1-3 7 1 0 0 1 22 12 -
L. Cummard 36 4-14 1-6 4-4 6 5 0 0 1 13 9 -
J. Fredette 34 5-13 0-3 0-2 6 6 1 0 2 10 8 -
J. Anderson 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 -
C. Miles 12 1-5 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 1 1 5 6 -
L. Morgan Jr. 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Hartsock 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Abouo 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 3 2 -

* = starter