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2009-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 74.1% 25.9% -
Margin 75.3% 24.7% -6.1 (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% -
Efficiency 72.8% 27.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% -
Log Adjusted 74.5% 25.5% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Meeks 40 6-21 4-11 10-10 3 0 0 0 1 26 7 -
K. Galloway 30 4-6 0-0 1-2 6 3 1 0 3 9 10 -
D. Liggins 25 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 2 1 0 6 -
R. Harris 24 0-2 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
D. Miller 24 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 7 1 -
P. Stevenson 23 1-3 0-0 1-4 2 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
M. Porter 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 2 4 2 -2 -
A.J. Stewart 12 4-4 1-1 2-3 3 0 0 1 2 11 9 -
J. Harrellson 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
L. Slone 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 38 3-9 1-3 10-10 2 3 3 0 2 17 14 -
J. Taylor 31 4-7 0-0 6-9 8 2 0 1 4 14 14 -
A.J. Ogilvy 29 4-7 0-2 7-9 8 1 2 3 1 15 21 -
B. Tinsley 28 3-7 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 9 2 -
L. Goulbourne 22 4-7 3-5 6-8 2 0 0 0 2 17 10 -
S. Tchiengang 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 2 2 1 4 -
F. Ezeli 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
G. Drake 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
D. McClellan 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
C. Hinkle 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter