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2009-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“

Actual: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Guillory 34 1-7 0-3 2-2 5 4 0 0 1 4 5 -
D. Scott 33 3-8 0-1 1-1 4 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
S. Wiley 28 5-11 1-4 2-4 4 1 2 0 2 13 7 -
C. Davis 26 8-14 2-5 5-8 2 0 1 0 0 23 12 -
B. Honore 25 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 3 8 6 -
E. Jones 20 3-8 0-0 2-4 5 0 3 0 2 8 6 -
J. Williams 17 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 3 -
B. Talley 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
M. Wollman 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
G. Horne 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Petty 35 8-11 2-2 4-4 14 1 1 4 4 22 27 -
D. Harmason 34 3-8 2-2 9-12 3 10 0 0 3 17 19 -
J. Cheeks 29 3-4 2-2 2-2 4 5 0 0 3 10 12 -
S. Behling 25 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 3 7 3 -
M. Clark 22 3-6 3-4 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
O. Smith 16 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 7 -
A. Studivant 15 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
T. Newsome 10 2-5 0-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
D. Pritchard 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Jones 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter