Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +21 (78-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Daugherty | 0 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | ||
| K. Ross | 0 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | |
| C. Nance | 0 | 4-10 | - | - | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| J. Raterman | 0 | 3-9 | 2-6 | - | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | |
| P. Lalor | 0 | -3 | -2 | - | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Phillips | 0 | 4-10 | - | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | ||
| T. Phillips | 0 | 6-11 | - | 7-7 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 25 | |
| T. Reed | 0 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | |
| S. Jennings | 0 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | ||
| J. Taylor | 0 | 2-8 | 2-5 | - | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
* = starter