Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -7 (76-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kreps | 36 | 8-10 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| J. Mayo | 35 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 13 | - |
| T. Boyd | 31 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| S. Stewart | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. VanderMeer | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Buttell | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| R. Eppinger | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Diebler | 40 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| H. Little | 37 | 5-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| U. Igbavboa | 35 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| M. Rogers | 29 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| E. Buggs | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Witt | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Jones | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Haskins | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Ferry | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter