Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -0.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Ellington | 35 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| T. Lawson | 34 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Green | 27 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| E. Davis | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| B. Frasor | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Drew II | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McClinton | 37 | 13-25 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 15 | - |
| J. Graham | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | - |
| B. Asbury | 27 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| L. Hurdle | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| A. Thomas | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Dews | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Gamble | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. McGowan | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Jones | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter