Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.5 | ✗ (27.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -22 (45-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Holloway | 34 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 29 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| L. Shipley | 29 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 29 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| B. Sampay | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| A. Rubin | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Holtz | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Robinson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Thornton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. White | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| J. Cox | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Young | 32 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Parker | 27 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Templeton | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Stanley | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Hall | 14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| B. Eaddy | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter