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2009-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 94.1% 5.9% -
Bradley-Terry 84.7% 15.3% -
Margin 90.5% 9.5% -12.4 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.1% 41.9% -
Efficiency 94.7% 5.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.0% 13.0% -
Log Adjusted 87.0% 13.0% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles +6 (80-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 37 8-17 3-6 6-8 8 1 2 2 0 25 21 -
J. Scheyer 36 3-12 0-6 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 8 1 -
G. Henderson 36 8-21 0-2 4-4 4 3 4 0 3 20 7 -
L. Thomas 26 6-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 12 11 -
G. Paulus 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 2 5 -
N. Smith 19 0-6 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -4 -
D. McClure 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
B. Zoubek 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Trapani 37 7-14 1-5 5-5 7 2 0 5 4 20 16 -
R. Sanders 36 6-8 1-2 1-2 5 1 2 0 1 14 13 -
T. Rice 34 7-13 3-7 4-6 6 6 0 0 6 21 14 -
T. Roche 24 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 8 7 -
R. Jackson 22 6-8 1-1 2-4 5 3 1 0 2 15 14 -
C. Raji 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
C. Dunn 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
J. Southern 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 -
B. Paris 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 0 -1 -

* = starter