Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -13 (52-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| C. Frazier | 37 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 26 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D. McCamey | 26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Brock | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Meacham | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Keller | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Jordan | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Legion | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Cole | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Pritchard | 36 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Roth | 35 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| V. Jones III | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Taber | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| M. Story | 28 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| N. Williams | 23 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Moore | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter