Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Lee | 40 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Douglass | 36 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Z. Novak | 32 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Harris | 32 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| D. Sims | 26 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Merritt | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Wright | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Lucas-Perry | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Grady | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Coble | 45 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 12-13 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | - |
| C. Moore | 36 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Shurna | 33 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Thompson | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Nash | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Williams | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Rowley | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Ryan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Curletti | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter