Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +12 (65-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. DeRozan | 40 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Lewis | 40 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 36 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Gibson | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Hackett | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Washington | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Simmons | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Harden | 40 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| J. Ayres | 37 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| D. Glasser | 33 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Kuksiks | 33 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Abbott | 24 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. McMillan | 22 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Shipp | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Boateng | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter