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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Prairie View A&M Panthers Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% -8.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 72.1% 27.9% - โœ“
Margin 79.7% 20.3% -7.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 77.6% 22.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.3% 10.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.7% 34.3% - โœ“

Actual: Grambling Tigers -6 (70-76). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Prairie View A&M Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christopher Jones 38 0-5 0-1 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 0 4 -
Derek Johnson 38 2-6 1-3 14-18 5 3 4 0 3 19 22 -
Darnell Hugee 33 6-8 0-0 5-6 5 0 0 1 3 17 12 -
Tim Meadows 33 3-8 0-5 3-4 4 4 1 0 0 9 10 -
Dorian McDaniel 25 5-11 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 11 5 -
Michael Griffin 20 3-13 1-4 2-4 1 2 1 0 2 9 -2 -
Jacobie Shivers 11 5-6 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 0 0 11 13 -
Alex Richman 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donald Qualls 40 4-10 3-7 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 11 7 -
Ariece Perkins 31 1-10 0-3 6-7 2 3 1 0 3 8 1 -
Marcus Coleman 29 7-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
Jordan Lemons 26 4-5 0-1 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 9 10 -
Jarred Riley 22 1-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Ibrahim Kpaka 22 6-10 5-8 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 17 10 -
Kevin Loyd 13 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 5 4 -
George Akpele 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Corrie Austin 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter