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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Marshall Thundering Herd UTEP Miners Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% +12.3 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Margin 15.5% 84.5% +9.3 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“

Actual: UTEP Miners +7 (74-67). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Lutz 39 7-22 7-18 3-4 3 1 0 0 2 24 4 -
Markel Humphrey 38 6-9 0-1 6-10 10 0 0 0 0 18 19 -
Adam Williams 24 1-3 0-1 0-2 5 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
Shaquille Johnson 22 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
Damier Pitts 20 4-10 1-5 0-1 1 4 0 0 2 9 2 -
Darryl Merthie 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 5 1 -
Octavius Spann 19 1-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 4 1 3 3 3 -
Tirrell Baines 15 1-4 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
Kore White 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

UTEP Miners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julyan Stone 34 0-2 0-0 3-4 4 8 2 2 3 3 14 -
Stefon Jackson 34 7-14 1-1 20-20 3 1 0 0 4 35 21 -
Randy Culpepper 27 3-9 0-2 2-2 4 2 6 1 3 8 9 -
Jason Jones 22 4-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 8 6 -
Arnett Moultrie 20 3-4 1-1 0-2 12 0 1 1 3 7 14 -
Gabriel McCulley 19 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
Tavaris Watts 13 1-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
Claude Britten 11 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 1 1 6 8 -
Kareem Cooper 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -1 -
Blaise Ffrench 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Wayne Portalatin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter