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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 58.4% 41.6% -
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% -
Margin 13.5% 86.5% +10.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% -
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Log Adjusted 9.6% 90.4% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +19 (69-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Tinsley 36 5-11 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 1 2 11 6 -
J. Beal 31 1-10 0-2 1-2 6 1 1 0 5 3 -4 -
A.J. Ogilvy 27 3-7 0-2 5-6 4 3 1 1 0 11 13 -
S. Tchiengang 25 2-5 1-4 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 7 6 -
J. Taylor 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 4 0 -
L. Goulbourne 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 1 3 4 6 -
F. Ezeli 14 3-3 0-0 0-4 3 0 1 0 3 6 4 -
D. McClellan 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
C. Hinkle 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 1 2 2 0 -
G. Drake 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
J. Duffy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
E. Cole 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 36 10-13 3-4 7-8 5 3 4 0 4 30 25 -
J.P. Prince 34 3-6 0-0 2-6 10 7 3 3 3 8 22 -
W. Chism 27 3-9 1-3 1-2 5 0 2 0 1 8 5 -
B. Maze 24 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 2 1 2 5 -
S. Hopson 22 2-8 1-6 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 -1 -
C. Tatum 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 2 2 1 2 1 -
J. Tabb 16 3-5 1-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
B. Williams 15 2-4 0-1 0-1 2 0 1 1 0 4 4 -
E. Negedu 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
R. Woolridge 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter