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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 84.5% 15.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% -
Margin 54.0% 46.0% -0.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 63.3% 36.7% -
Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% -
Log Adjusted 89.6% 10.4% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -16 (63-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette 37 6-10 1-2 3-5 5 5 1 0 2 16 15 -
L. Cummard 35 6-10 2-2 10-10 5 2 2 2 1 24 24 -
J. Tavernari 29 8-13 2-5 1-1 6 0 1 0 3 19 10 -
C. Miles 28 3-4 0-0 2-3 3 3 1 1 3 8 9 -
J. Emery 24 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
L. Morgan Jr. 21 0-2 0-0 0-1 1 4 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Anderson 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
C. Abouo 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Rose 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
N. Hartsock 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ruzgas 32 4-10 3-7 3-3 2 0 0 0 0 14 6 -
Z. Buljan 31 5-12 1-3 2-2 10 2 2 0 3 13 12 -
K. Langford 31 5-10 1-1 8-8 3 1 1 2 3 19 13 -
R. Moss 29 3-11 0-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 7 -3 -
K. Butler 26 3-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
K. Mitchem 22 0-4 0-3 2-4 3 3 1 0 2 2 3 -
J. Ebie 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
K. Rose 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 1 3 -

* = starter