Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Raivio | 36 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| T.J. Campbell | 30 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| J. Stohl | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Knutson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Sikma | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Ito | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hegarty | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Samhan | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D. Simpson | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| W. Hunter | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. McConnell | 29 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| C. Hughes | 26 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| I. O'Leary | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Walker | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter