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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Utah Valley Wolverines Savannah State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% - โœ“
Margin 80.9% 19.1% -7.9 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 78.5% 21.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.9% 8.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.6% 33.4% - โœ“

Actual: Savannah State Tigers -11 (58-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Valley Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Toolson 40 8-18 4-7 13-13 5 1 2 1 1 33 23 -
T. Petty 32 2-2 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 2 5 8 -
B. Ravenberg 30 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 2 5 -
J. Olsen 27 4-5 1-1 8-9 0 1 1 0 5 17 9 -
J. Swarbrick 24 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
J. Scoubes 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
S. Jensen 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Baker 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Brown 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
R. Fannon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Savannah State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Linton 37 4-15 0-4 4-6 8 0 1 0 0 12 6 -
J. Shuler 35 6-11 1-4 5-5 4 0 1 0 1 18 11 -
T. Rankins 26 1-5 1-2 5-7 0 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
R. Hassan 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 2 4 -
R. Bailey 19 1-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
P. Hardy 18 1-5 0-2 1-2 0 0 2 1 0 3 1 -
A. Jones 18 1-7 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
A. Louis 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 7 -
G. Izevbigie 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Chawa 6 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Mitchell 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter