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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 19.6% 80.4% +7.8 (5.8 off)

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Keeler 37 4-20 3-9 6-6 5 3 1 0 2 17 4 -
S. Lewis 32 3-8 1-5 1-2 7 1 2 0 1 8 9 -
T. Shelton 29 3-9 0-0 3-5 6 2 1 2 2 9 9 -
J. Manley 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
C. Thomas 25 7-10 3-4 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 17 10 -
J. Brown 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -2 -
W. Dipprey 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
C. Anderson 11 4-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
D. Hanson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Devine 35 10-16 1-4 8-9 5 4 0 0 3 29 19 -
W. Brew 25 3-5 1-3 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 8 6 -
J. Serna 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
J. Nunnally 23 3-6 1-2 2-2 4 4 1 1 0 9 13 -
D.J. Posley 23 2-7 1-2 1-3 3 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
G. Somogyi 18 5-6 0-0 0-3 6 0 0 2 1 10 11 -
J. Powell 14 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4 -
P. Roemer 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
J. Byrd 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 0 5 -
S. Phippen 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Weiner 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter