Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 37 | 4-20 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| S. Lewis | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Shelton | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Manley | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Thomas | 25 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| J. Brown | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 11 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Hanson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Devine | 35 | 10-16 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 19 | - |
| W. Brew | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Serna | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Nunnally | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Posley | 23 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Powell | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| P. Roemer | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Byrd | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. Phippen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Weiner | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter