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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds North Dakota State Bison Spread Result
Elo 7.8% 92.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 11.9% 88.1% - โœ—
Margin 6.3% 93.7% +14.9 โœ— (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 27.4% 72.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 3.7% 96.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 21.1% 78.9% - โœ—

Actual: North Dakota State Bison -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Clifford 39 5-7 0-0 4-4 8 2 2 1 0 14 20 -
T. Quinney 38 5-12 0-0 4-4 8 6 1 0 4 14 13 -
D. Baker 35 9-14 3-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 23 12 -
J. Nielson 34 4-7 1-1 2-2 3 6 2 0 2 11 13 -
D. Marek 27 3-6 1-1 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 7 8 -
M. Josserand 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
C. Davis 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Allen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Byrd 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Jeffery 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Woodside 39 8-15 2-6 11-13 2 4 0 0 5 29 15 -
M. Nelson 33 4-12 2-5 1-3 0 3 0 1 1 11 2 -
M. Tveidt 32 4-6 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 9 11 -
B. Winkelman 27 5-10 1-5 4-4 4 3 1 0 1 15 12 -
L. Moormann 27 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 0 2 -
J. Vaughan 19 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 3 5 -
D. Flowers 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Sussenguth 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Carlson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Coleman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter