Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +19 (89-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 37 | 9-17 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| A. Ogide | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. McFarland | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| W. Gardner | 27 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Carr | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| H. Perry | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Dunn | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Nigon | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Franklin | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. Annese | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bellfield | 35 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| T. Willis | 32 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| W. Adams | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Darger | 23 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 19 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Wallace | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Santee | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| S. Hoffman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Ketchum | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Massamba | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter