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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model North Texas Mean Green Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Spread Result
Elo 50.0% 50.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—
Margin 34.8% 65.2% +3.5 โœ— (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 43.1% 56.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - โœ—

Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -11 (78-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. White 37 7-10 4-5 8-8 5 5 1 0 1 26 26 -
D. Johnson 29 2-3 1-1 4-4 3 2 1 0 7 9 5 -
H. Stewart 29 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 4 7 -
G. Odufuwa 27 3-5 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 2 9 8 -
A. McCoy 27 10-15 4-9 0-1 5 2 1 0 1 24 16 -
T. Thompson 17 4-7 1-3 2-3 0 2 0 0 0 11 6 -
E. Tramiel 15 2-3 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 3 6 5 -
C. Dennis 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
K. Hogans 7 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Howerton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kanaskie 36 4-10 1-5 6-8 5 3 2 0 1 15 14 -
D. Yates 26 7-11 1-1 4-7 3 0 2 0 2 19 11 -
M. Haddock 24 4-10 0-1 4-6 3 0 0 1 3 12 3 -
N. Johnson 23 2-6 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
D. Williams 18 2-6 0-0 4-6 3 0 1 1 2 8 5 -
D. Green 17 0-1 0-0 3-6 2 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
C. O'Neil 15 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
D. Hair 15 0-3 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
E. Allen 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Yarbrough 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hopson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
K.C. Anuna 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter