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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats Lamar Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 51.2% 48.8% -
Bradley-Terry 55.6% 44.4% -
Margin 52.7% 47.3% -0.6 (3.4 off)
Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% -

Actual: Lamar Cardinals -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rybak 36 3-9 1-6 0-0 9 3 0 1 1 7 10 -
B. Benson 36 7-16 5-10 5-6 5 1 0 0 0 24 14 -
B. Bush 33 5-11 0-1 4-6 4 1 0 0 3 14 5 -
C. Jefferson 32 1-5 1-2 4-4 1 6 1 0 2 7 8 -
C. Johnson 22 5-11 0-0 3-4 7 0 2 0 1 13 10 -
D. Moseley 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
T. Gough 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
R. White 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 0 4 -
J. Sloan 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
R. Jackson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bowman 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -2 -

Lamar Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dawkins 35 7-16 2-7 2-2 5 6 1 0 2 18 12 -
B. McThay 34 4-13 4-9 2-2 3 2 2 0 1 14 7 -
A. Hall 30 3-7 0-1 2-4 4 4 0 1 1 8 9 -
J. Brown 27 7-15 0-2 0-0 11 0 0 2 0 14 12 -
T. Worrell 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
S. Williams 17 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 3 0 0 3 5 7 -
C. Harper 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 3 1 2 -
A. Miles 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 -
C. Custer 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
T.J. Riley 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter