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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 85.1% 14.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.1% 36.9% -
Efficiency 90.6% 9.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% -
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -4 (45-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 38 7-14 0-2 2-2 10 3 1 0 1 16 15 -
K. Grant 32 2-6 2-5 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
C. Kramer 31 1-3 0-1 0-1 6 2 1 0 1 2 7 -
J. Johnson 27 5-6 0-0 3-4 0 1 0 3 2 13 9 -
R. Hummel 24 1-7 0-5 0-2 4 1 0 2 0 2 2 -
L. Jackson 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
N. Calasan 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Riddell 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Green 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens 40 2-13 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 -6 -
J. Kelly 38 8-17 1-6 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 19 7 -
D. Bawinkel 36 0-5 0-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Cole 32 4-5 0-0 5-6 5 0 1 0 1 13 13 -
J. Davis 30 1-4 0-2 0-1 3 1 1 0 3 2 0 -
A. Fuller 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
D. Palmer 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -

* = starter