Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | +10.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +3 (69-66). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tomko | 39 | 9-22 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 9 | - |
| D. Lacy | 32 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Wolf | 32 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| J. Stephenson | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Felder | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Moore | 17 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Downey | 12 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Jeralds | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Mercer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mendez | 40 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| J. Dukes | 34 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - |
| T. Goldston | 31 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | -1 | - |
| O. Krubally | 20 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| T. Hampton | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Chase | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Lott | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| X. Hansbro | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Fields | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter