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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% -
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% -
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 (1.9 off)
Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Anderson 40 6-14 1-3 11-12 4 4 0 0 2 24 16 -
D. Gonzalvez 36 5-11 3-5 3-3 5 1 0 1 4 16 8 -
K. Smith 34 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 3 0 1 4 6 6 -
R. Butler 23 3-6 0-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
J. Giddings 21 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 -
J. Harper 15 0-3 0-2 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
F. Martel 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
K. Hovde 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Duinker 10 2-3 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 1 0 5 4 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright 29 5-13 1-2 6-10 10 1 1 3 3 17 16 -
L. Warren 24 2-4 0-0 6-7 3 6 2 0 1 10 16 -
C. Little 22 2-2 0-0 3-5 4 1 1 1 1 7 11 -
K. Huelsman 22 3-3 0-0 2-5 7 0 0 0 2 8 10 -
P. Williams 21 2-2 1-1 1-4 2 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
M. Perry 20 1-7 0-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 -3 -
M. Johnson 19 2-5 0-2 2-3 0 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
S. Thomas 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
C. Johnson 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
D. Searcy 9 1-1 0-0 1-5 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
L. Fabrizius 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

* = starter