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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 94.8% 5.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 90.4% 9.6% - โœ“
Margin 94.7% 5.3% -15.9 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 65.2% 34.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.9% 4.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 80.4% 19.6% - โœ“

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -15 (52-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Rucker 0 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Hobson 0 4-5 0-1 3-6 3 0 0 0 2 11 7 -
C. Bingham 0 5-6 0-0 5-6 4 1 4 0 1 15 17 -
A. McCoughtry 0 12-21 2-5 7-8 5 3 3 0 1 33 22 -
D. Byrd 0 2-11 1-6 0-0 4 5 2 0 2 5 3 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stephens 0 2-5 0-0 6-6 4 0 0 0 3 10 6 -
S. Bellman 0 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 5 6 -
A. Morgan 0 2-8 0-3 0-0 10 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
D. Boddie 0 7-10 4-6 4-5 2 2 0 0 3 22 13 -
S. Sanders 0 3-10 0-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 6 7 -4 -

* = starter