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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Central Arkansas Bears Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (4.9 off)

Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -2 (77-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Mosley 31 3-5 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 2 1 6 11 -
D. Jones 31 6-17 2-7 5-6 7 0 0 1 2 19 8 -
K. Porterie 29 0-8 0-0 3-6 13 3 0 0 3 3 8 -
M. McConathy 27 5-11 0-3 3-3 1 2 2 0 1 13 6 -
D. Knight 23 6-10 2-2 2-3 8 1 1 0 0 16 16 -
K. Hancock 18 4-8 3-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 11 5 -
A. Brooks 13 2-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
L. McConathy 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Petravicius 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
C. Clark 8 0-1 0-0 4-4 6 2 0 0 2 4 9 -
D. Richardson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Taylor 32 9-17 3-8 7-9 1 3 2 0 0 28 17 -
M. Pillow 32 3-14 2-7 4-7 3 3 0 0 3 12 1 -
M. Rueter 29 5-8 0-3 3-5 3 1 1 1 2 13 9 -
B. Marks 28 0-1 0-0 0-0 10 0 2 0 0 0 11 -
K. Cannon 26 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
D. Clayborn 19 3-5 0-2 0-0 4 6 0 0 2 6 9 -
C. Brown 17 2-4 0-0 2-3 3 0 2 0 0 6 7 -
L. Brewer 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
A. Silverman 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
I. Qahwash 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter