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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model South Carolina Gamecocks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 61.7% 38.3% -
Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.3% 20.7% -
Log Adjusted 79.4% 20.6% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Downey 37 6-20 1-6 5-6 5 5 6 0 4 18 10 -
D. Archie 35 6-10 1-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 15 8 -
Z. Fredrick 32 2-7 1-4 4-5 2 2 0 0 4 9 2 -
M. Holmes 31 5-12 0-0 2-6 10 1 1 0 0 12 12 -
S. Muldrow 22 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 3 7 -
B. Raley-Ross 21 5-8 2-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 13 6 -
E. Baniulis 12 1-5 0-3 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
A. Steed 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 3 6 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gee 32 8-16 1-2 1-2 8 2 1 0 1 18 12 -
A. Brock 31 0-4 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 7 2 -4 -
D. Jemison 27 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 3 2 7 -
M. Torrance 26 5-12 2-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 12 7 -
S. Hillman 20 7-12 1-2 2-3 2 1 1 0 2 17 7 -
J. Green 20 2-4 0-0 5-6 8 2 1 3 2 9 17 -
Y. Coleman 18 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 8 4 -
J. Knox 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Steele 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
B. Hollinger 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter