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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Washington Eagles Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Margin 22.8% 77.2% +6.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% - โœ“

Actual: Idaho State Bengals +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Genao 33 9-14 3-4 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 21 16 -
B. Valentine 32 4-13 3-8 2-2 2 3 3 0 1 13 7 -
B. Moore 26 3-7 0-0 8-9 3 2 0 0 3 14 9 -
G. Gibson 24 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 0 4 -
M. Brunell 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
M. Dunn 21 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
M. Stanojevic 17 2-3 1-2 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
A. DeLeon 17 3-9 2-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 10 3 -
C. Busch 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Christensen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stucki 38 3-7 1-2 1-2 3 4 2 2 3 8 9 -
A. Morgan 38 6-7 2-2 5-7 7 8 1 0 6 19 22 -
L. Steijn 35 5-6 0-0 5-6 4 0 0 3 1 15 15 -
D. Carson 26 6-8 2-2 4-6 5 1 0 1 1 18 16 -
C. Tatum 26 3-7 0-1 4-8 4 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
A. Kilpatrick 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
F. Caspari 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
S. Baldwin 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Busma 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter