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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 46.4% 53.6% +0.8 (18.2 off)
Pythagorean 18.0% 82.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +19 (103-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 38 10-22 6-13 7-9 3 2 3 0 3 33 16 -
M. Dunigan 30 6-9 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 1 1 14 15 -
G. Sim 27 4-10 3-6 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 11 1 -
L. Longmire 25 5-13 0-2 6-9 3 1 0 1 4 16 4 -
K. Brown 20 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 5 1 -
J. Catron 19 1-4 0-0 0-1 7 3 3 0 0 2 11 -
C. Odia 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Humphrey 13 0-3 0-2 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 1 0 -
J. Crittle 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Elorriaga 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brockman 34 6-12 0-0 9-10 18 4 0 0 2 21 29 -
J. Dentmon 30 8-13 3-4 2-2 3 2 2 1 2 21 14 -
Q. Pondexter 28 6-8 0-0 8-10 4 1 1 0 1 20 17 -
I. Thomas 24 7-9 0-0 10-13 3 4 4 1 4 24 23 -
D. Gant 21 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
V. Overton 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 4 4 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 12 1-6 0-0 2-3 6 1 1 2 0 4 8 -
J. Holiday 12 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 1 -3 -
E. Turner Jr. 11 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
S. Suggs 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Wolfinger 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wallace 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -

* = starter