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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 4.4% 95.6% -
Bradley-Terry 11.8% 88.2% -
Margin 4.3% 95.7% +17.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 15.4% 84.6% -
Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Utah Utes +15 (74-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Henke 31 7-13 3-5 0-1 4 2 1 0 3 17 8 -
E. Washington 30 0-3 0-0 2-4 3 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
A. Johnson 29 6-10 0-0 6-6 5 2 2 0 1 18 16 -
M. Holland 22 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
G. Parker 22 6-7 4-5 0-1 1 0 1 0 2 16 9 -
T. Stewart 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 0 -1 -
S. Hempsey 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. McLain 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Schafer 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Merriex 10 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Provost 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nevill 33 6-9 0-0 6-7 7 1 0 1 2 18 16 -
C. Brown 32 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 9 10 -
T. Kepkay 30 1-7 0-4 2-2 3 4 0 0 1 4 3 -
S. Green 27 5-8 2-5 1-1 3 1 2 2 1 13 12 -
L. Drca 26 1-2 1-2 0-1 0 4 1 0 1 3 5 -
L. Borha 19 7-8 5-6 3-3 3 2 1 0 0 22 20 -
K. Tillie 18 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
J. Tavita 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
J. Cyphers 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Downie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter