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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% -
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% -
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% -
Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.2% 34.8% -
Log Adjusted 65.2% 34.8% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sloan 37 5-11 3-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 13 6 -
J. Carter 35 7-15 2-7 4-4 4 2 1 0 2 20 10 -
B. Davis 32 4-12 0-0 5-6 9 1 0 1 4 13 8 -
D. Roland 29 5-7 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 13 10 -
D. Loubeau 22 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 3 6 -
C. Elonu 19 0-0 0-0 4-6 3 0 0 2 1 4 8 -
B.J. Holmes 16 0-2 0-1 2-4 5 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
N. Walkup 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Harris 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Carter 36 4-9 2-5 4-4 2 2 3 0 0 14 12 -
C. Jerrells 35 5-11 2-5 2-2 2 7 2 0 1 14 13 -
H. Dugat 28 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 6 8 -
A. Jones 27 4-6 3-5 1-2 0 0 1 1 0 12 8 -
L. Dunn 22 3-5 0-2 3-6 4 0 0 2 0 9 10 -
K. Rogers 22 6-9 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 12 3 -
M. Diene 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 6 -
J. Lomers 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 -
Q. Acy 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

* = starter