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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% -
Bradley-Terry 72.6% 27.4% -
Margin 78.9% 21.1% -7.3 (25.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Log Adjusted 55.0% 45.0% -

Actual: Brown Bears +18 (61-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Buczak 33 2-7 0-1 4-6 5 5 0 0 1 8 10 -
M. Schroeder 32 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 2 1 -
D. Davis 29 4-9 0-4 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 9 0 -
D. Mavraides 28 3-6 3-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 9 3 -
K. Maddox 24 3-7 2-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 10 9 -
P. Saunders 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
J. Briggs 16 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
J. Comfort 8 1-2 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Z. Finley 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
N. Lake 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Foley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sullivan 40 2-8 1-5 8-11 6 2 1 1 2 13 13 -
C. Skrelja 40 3-5 0-1 3-4 9 3 1 0 1 9 16 -
A. Williams 40 4-7 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 11 6 -
M. Mullery 34 8-10 2-3 1-2 4 6 0 4 3 19 20 -
S. Friske 25 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 2 6 -
M. Kelly 21 2-6 2-5 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 4 -

* = starter