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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model UMass Minutemen St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (3.1 off)
Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Harris 36 5-16 2-7 7-8 0 4 0 0 3 19 4 -
T. Gaffney 35 8-10 0-1 5-8 11 1 2 3 1 21 27 -
A. Gurley 30 3-11 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 -3 -
L. Bonner 28 4-7 3-6 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 11 11 -
C. Lowe 22 5-9 1-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 13 7 -
D. Gibbs 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 0 -2 -
T. Lynch 12 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
M. Glass 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Correia 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hall 38 5-9 0-0 3-5 10 3 3 2 4 13 18 -
C. Matthews 37 6-16 2-10 4-4 2 4 1 0 1 18 8 -
M. Eleby 29 3-9 0-0 6-6 4 7 0 0 1 12 13 -
M. Thomas 26 6-9 0-0 6-9 7 1 2 0 0 18 19 -
A. Nicholson 20 5-9 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 10 10 -
T. Benson 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
D. Carter 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
R. Blackburn 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 3 4 0 -
M. Davenport 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Cook 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter