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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Cornell Big Red Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 18.4% 81.6% -
Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Cornell Big Red +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett 40 10-27 0-3 2-2 6 2 2 0 2 22 3 -
D. Rufful 36 4-9 2-3 2-4 6 0 1 0 3 12 7 -
J. Trotter 27 3-10 1-2 1-3 3 0 2 0 1 8 2 -
E. Fitzgerald 27 2-3 0-0 8-10 4 1 2 0 4 12 12 -
R. Dixon 26 6-8 1-3 1-1 4 2 0 0 0 14 12 -
R. Pride 25 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 1 2 -
H. Kouna 19 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 3 1 7 13 -
M. Sanders 13 0-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 -
C. Weeden 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
K. Graeber 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Biber 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
J. Riddle 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Crecco 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Cornell Big Red

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Wittman 45 5-14 2-8 2-3 4 3 1 0 2 14 6 -
J. Foote 42 2-8 0-0 7-12 9 5 0 3 3 11 17 -
L. Dale 42 4-10 2-6 8-8 7 2 3 0 4 18 16 -
C. Wroblewski 41 2-3 1-1 4-4 2 2 3 0 2 9 11 -
G. Reeves 30 4-7 3-5 4-4 3 0 0 0 3 15 8 -
A. Wire 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 1 2 7 -
A. Tyler 18 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
B. Kreefer 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
A. Gore 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Battle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter