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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% -
Bradley-Terry 69.2% 30.8% -
Margin 68.1% 31.9% -4.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 64.7% 35.3% -
Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% -
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% -

Actual: Columbia Lions +1 (60-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 38 5-13 1-5 8-11 5 1 3 1 6 19 10 -
D. Housman 35 2-5 1-3 6-6 5 6 0 0 2 11 15 -
A. Pusar 30 4-8 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 11 9 -
M. Kenyi 26 2-5 1-4 2-2 1 0 1 1 2 7 3 -
E. Harris 24 0-0 0-0 1-4 3 1 3 3 2 1 9 -
K. Wright 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 3 1 4 7 -
P. Boehm 12 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
O. McNally 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Agho 38 3-10 1-2 4-5 1 5 2 0 2 11 7 -
J. Miller 30 7-9 0-0 5-7 8 0 0 0 2 19 16 -
K.J. Matsui 26 5-9 5-8 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 15 11 -
K. Bulger 26 2-11 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -7 -
P. Foley 24 4-8 0-0 0-2 0 2 1 0 1 8 2 -
J. Bova 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
N. Scott 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 -
S. Egee 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Z. Crimmins 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 0 5 -
M. Johnson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Ampim 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter