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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% -
Bradley-Terry 64.9% 35.1% -
Margin 69.6% 30.4% -4.6 (27.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.7% 69.3% -
Efficiency 6.1% 93.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +23 (86-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas 36 8-19 2-7 4-5 5 3 2 0 0 22 13 -
D. Kitchen 25 2-4 0-1 3-4 7 4 1 0 2 7 13 -
C. Singleton 24 1-6 1-4 2-4 3 0 2 0 3 5 1 -
U. Echefu 20 5-7 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 3 11 8 -
R. Reid 19 0-2 0-0 3-5 5 1 2 1 2 3 8 -
S. Alabi 19 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 3 6 8 3 -
D. Dulkys 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
L. Loucks 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -3 -
J. DeMercy 14 3-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
X. Gibson 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Hoff 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Aminu 33 5-9 1-3 6-9 5 0 1 0 3 17 11 -
J. Teague 31 3-13 0-3 9-10 4 2 2 1 1 15 10 -
L.D. Williams 30 6-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 12 7 -
I. Smith 25 3-5 0-0 5-5 5 4 1 0 2 11 14 -
C. McFarland 18 2-4 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
J. Johnson 17 4-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 4 0 1 8 9 -
G. Clark 16 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
D. Weaver 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
T. Woods 10 0-0 0-0 6-6 2 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
T. Walker 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
B. Hoekstra 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Lepore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McQuilkin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter