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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 9.4% 90.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 26.0% 74.0% +5.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 25.3% 74.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Log Adjusted 37.4% 62.6% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Holsinger 37 5-11 3-8 7-8 2 9 0 0 4 20 16 -
K. Williams 36 1-4 0-0 2-4 3 4 1 0 1 4 7 -
S. Ely 33 8-17 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 20 5 -
N. Garner 30 6-9 0-0 3-3 4 3 1 0 0 15 14 -
K. Lacey 20 3-3 0-0 4-4 1 1 1 0 1 10 9 -
J. Haarsma 20 2-3 0-0 1-3 2 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
P. van Tongeren 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
C.J. Erickson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Hopf 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Holmes 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Wilson 36 6-10 0-2 14-18 7 5 2 0 2 26 28 -
S. Maniscalco 35 4-7 2-5 6-7 1 4 0 0 0 16 14 -
E. McCain 29 1-5 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 3 0 -
D. Dunson 28 4-7 2-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 3 13 5 -
C. Roberts 26 4-5 2-3 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 12 14 -
D. Collins 21 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 3 2 8 13 -
S. Singh 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 4 2 -
D. Norris 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Brown 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -

* = starter