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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 81.7% 18.3% -
Bradley-Terry 41.4% 58.6% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% -
Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.7% 12.3% -
Log Adjusted 87.9% 12.1% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +10 (66-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Newbold 36 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 1 1 0 5 -
P. Williams 30 4-10 1-3 1-2 4 2 1 1 2 10 6 -
J. Quayle 29 4-9 2-4 2-3 4 2 2 0 4 12 7 -
G. Wilkinson 28 5-9 1-2 1-2 6 0 0 0 4 12 5 -
T. Wesley 21 1-6 0-0 5-8 3 0 3 0 5 7 2 -
M. Formisano 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
B. Jardine 15 2-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
S. Williams 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Myaer 11 1-3 1-2 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 34 6-14 4-9 2-3 2 1 3 0 2 18 8 -
M. Sanchez 32 8-12 0-0 4-6 4 2 0 0 4 20 10 -
J. Greene 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 0 5 -
L. Anderson 24 0-5 0-3 0-2 3 2 0 1 2 0 -1 -
I. Okoye 20 3-7 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 2 2 9 9 -
P. Noonan 18 2-6 1-5 4-4 5 1 2 0 0 9 11 -
K. Cunningham 17 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Garner 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
S. Imadiyi 9 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 6 8 -

* = starter