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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 56.0% 44.0% -
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% -
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 70.3% 29.7% -
Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% -
Log Adjusted 94.6% 5.4% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -9 (76-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Abrams 45 11-19 5-11 2-3 1 1 3 0 0 29 15 -
D. Balbay 37 3-4 0-0 0-2 1 7 1 0 1 6 10 -
D. James 31 9-14 1-2 2-6 14 0 1 1 3 21 20 -
J. Mason 29 2-4 0-1 3-3 4 4 2 0 3 7 10 -
V. Ward 28 2-3 0-0 4-6 3 1 0 0 3 8 6 -
G. Johnson 24 2-6 0-0 4-6 0 2 0 1 1 8 4 -
C. Atchley 14 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 2 0 2 6 -
D. Pittman 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
M. Hill 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Tomlinson 44 1-5 1-4 2-3 1 5 0 0 1 5 5 -
C. Higgins 43 11-20 3-5 9-11 9 1 0 0 4 34 20 -
A. Dufault 42 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 8 7 -
D. Thorne II 39 2-3 1-2 5-6 1 1 2 0 2 10 9 -
J. Jackson-Wilson 29 3-5 0-0 4-4 4 3 1 0 2 10 11 -
L. Knutson 15 2-4 0-2 1-1 0 1 0 0 2 5 0 -
T. Eckloff 8 1-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
J. Coney 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Veal 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter