Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.2% | 15.8% | -9.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -15 (54-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mbunga | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| M. Navarre | 31 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| W. Bynum | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| E. Rush | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| B. Johnson | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 16 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| B. Howard | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Anderson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Leath | 35 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 8 | - |
| R. Adams | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Eller | 31 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| A. Flaggs | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Stigall | 27 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Marcial | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Wilson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Malloy | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Selling | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter